The 2026 rate plateau and what it means for risk assets across emerging markets
Markets have repriced the rate path significantly. But equity and FX positioning still reflects the expectations of a year ago. We quantify the gap — and where adjustment may be abrupt.
Host nation currencies and major sporting events: a six-tournament study
We examine how currencies of World Cup and Olympics host nations have behaved before, during, and after the event — and whether a pattern is tradeable.
Sponsor stocks at major tournaments: McDonald's, Visa, Adidas — a performance review
Official FIFA and Olympics sponsors often see a sentiment bump around major events. We look at the data across the last four cycles to separate noise from signal.
Soft commodities and the El Niño cycle: hedging agricultural exposure in 2026
Climate patterns continue to create structural shifts. Here's what the data suggests for sugar, cocoa, and wheat through H2 2026.
Retail trading behaviour: what the surge in platform activity tells us about sentiment
The rise of accessible trading platforms has created a new and trackable signal. We look at what retail flow data reveals about positioning ahead of key macro events.
- Prediction markets vs. financial markets: a cross-asset correlation study 20/05/2026
- Dollar strength and EM FX: the asymmetric impact on developing economies 13/05/2026
- Airline stocks and global events: reading demand signals from booking data 06/05/2026
- Oil price volatility and energy sector equity performance in 2026 29/04/2026
- Central bank divergence: how rate differentials are reshaping G10 FX pairs 22/04/2026
- Event-driven investing: a framework for trading scheduled macro announcements 15/04/2026
- Consumer discretionary vs. staples: reading the macro signal from sector rotation 08/04/2026
- The yield curve as a leading indicator: what the 2026 shape tells us 01/04/2026